Sheesh.

In order to counter allegations that his foreign policy stance is naïve, today Barack Obama threatened to invade Pakistan.

Boy, he sure countered that allegation. Does he intend to conquer and hold a country of 157 million people, largely in hard-to-access mountain regions? Or is the plan simply to invade hostile areas like Waziristan, so that we can drive the people there slightly further into the mountains (which they’ve practiced holding by guerilla warfare for the past three thousand years or so) and in the process destabilize and delegitimize the central government until Musharraf’s fragile grip on power fails, and the increasingly strong Islamist movement in the Pakistani military takes over?

I do like him as a “fresh face…” but seeing him on the last debate, he came across as an amateur. If he wants to get serious support in the primary, he’s going to need to fill in his foreign policy background with some real understanding, not half-assed grandstanding.

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Published in: on August 1, 2007 at 12:16  Comments (8)  
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8 Comments

  1. I won’t defend his statement, but it’s obvious that whoever inevitably replaces Musharraf won’t be our ally. It’s sad that he said this, because now our alliance with Musharraf can be used against him, regardless of the fact that he’s a member of the opposition party to our leadership.
    I’ve found that people in other countries don’t quite appreciate the subtle differences between Republicans and Democrats the way Americans do. So all they’re likely to hear is, “Americans will invade us.”
    -=T=-

  2. I won’t defend his statement, but it’s obvious that whoever inevitably replaces Musharraf won’t be our ally. It’s sad that he said this, because now our alliance with Musharraf can be used against him, regardless of the fact that he’s a member of the opposition party to our leadership.
    I’ve found that people in other countries don’t quite appreciate the subtle differences between Republicans and Democrats the way Americans do. So all they’re likely to hear is, “Americans will invade us.”
    -=T=-

  3. I think “attack actionable targets” is a different statement than “conquer and hold the country”.

  4. I think “attack actionable targets” is a different statement than “conquer and hold the country”.

  5. Yup. Unfortunately, that reads a lot more like option 2. If we start attacking targets in places like Waziristan, then Musharraf can either support or oppose us. If he supports us, his ability to portray himself as having any independence at all is gone, and the opposition would have more than enough popular support to depose and kill him. If he opposes us, we pull out our support from his regime, and the opposition would again be in a good position to depose and kill him. Either way, it seems like a big win for the Islamists. (And not so much for us, since trying to attack people in the mountains is one of the things that gave land wars in Asia a bad name)

  6. Yup. Unfortunately, that reads a lot more like option 2. If we start attacking targets in places like Waziristan, then Musharraf can either support or oppose us. If he supports us, his ability to portray himself as having any independence at all is gone, and the opposition would have more than enough popular support to depose and kill him. If he opposes us, we pull out our support from his regime, and the opposition would again be in a good position to depose and kill him. Either way, it seems like a big win for the Islamists. (And not so much for us, since trying to attack people in the mountains is one of the things that gave land wars in Asia a bad name)

  7. Yes. Someone needs to thump him on the back and remind him, ‘Dude, our country was founded on a guerilla war fought with the world’s greatest military power of the day. The people you’re talking about bombing have several thousand years of experience with guerilla warfare. They’re a lot better at it than we are, and our shiny hardware won’t help us a damn bit.’

  8. Yes. Someone needs to thump him on the back and remind him, ‘Dude, our country was founded on a guerilla war fought with the world’s greatest military power of the day. The people you’re talking about bombing have several thousand years of experience with guerilla warfare. They’re a lot better at it than we are, and our shiny hardware won’t help us a damn bit.’


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